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タイトル Bayesian Forecasting of WWW Traffic on the Time Varying Poisson Model
著者 Daiki Koizumi 、Toshiyasu Matsushima 、Shigeichi Hirasawa
年度 2009
形式 国際学会
分野 その他
掲載雑誌名 Proc. of The 2009 International Conference on Parallel and Distributed Processing Techniques and Applications (PDPTA'09)
掲載号・ページ pp. 683-689, Nevada, USA
掲載年 2009
掲載月 6
アブスト
(日本語)
学会名:The 2009 International Conference on Parallel and Distributed Processing Techniques and Applications
日程:July 13-16, 2009
場所:Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
アブスト
(英語)
Traffic forecasting from past observed traffic data with small calculation complexity is one of important problems for planning of servers and networks. Focusing on World Wide Web (WWW) traffic as fundamental investigation, this paper would deal with Bayesian forecasting of network traffic on the time varying Poisson model from a viewpoint from statistical decision theory. Under this model, we would show that the estimated forecasting value is obtained by simple arithmetic calculation and expresses real WWW traffic well from both theoretical and empirical points of view.
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(日本語)
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(英語)
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